No. They can be off a 1/2 mile in “accurate” conditions. Sometimes they can pick up the heat in the drifting smoke column.
That said, Huntington structure group just said
“Fire is heading east still, on both sides of Huntington road. Going to fire a line between the lake and the road to stop the eastward spread below the road. To protect the marina area.”
Sounds like it is past Cedar Crest, I believe they were doing active structure protection at Cedar Crest hours ago.
“Fire is also still on both sides of 168, heading east, and will run toward China peak before too long.
Easterly Fire progression on both sides of the lake about the same right now”.