South Ops Weather - 2025

CA-SDU activating Lighting plan. Possible Lighting fire S-2 Overlook (Ranchita area), and one Red Mountain area

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GOES West Monsoon Flow & Lightning

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Radar is now showing downstrikes all the way up to Mammoth lakes and westward out on the LPF in the Sespe Wilderness

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Palomar Mountain east side

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My Lightning Tracker
Storms moving :cloud_with_lightning_and_rain: Northward

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:astonished_face:

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Today was quite the event. We actually had 14,000+ strikes and 40+ fires on Fed, state and local dpa. With unknown amount of fires not discovered or staffed yet. We’ll see how the next few days shake out. The local units and aviation resources did a heck of job trying to track each fire down. Im suprised more people aren’t talking about this.

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Frankly, I had no idea it was that significant of an event. That being said, you are 100% correct that is phenomenal work by the air guys for reconnaissance and the ground guys getting to the fires and knocking them down.

Also, like you said, we will see what shows itself in the next few days….

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Been seeing a good show from this one moving along the crest.

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Todays multimodel consensus takes Juliette off of the coast of Baja around 27 degrees north x 120 degrees west. It will be interesting to see how much the storm deepens while it is over the warmer waters. The storm is fighting NE wind shear. We are going to get residual moisture from this storm, it is unclear at this time if it will be simply mid level clouds or something in addition. An upper level trough approaching from the west would normally scour the moisture away during this time of year and just bring dry zonal flow, but will advect the moisture north. We will have to see if there’s enough of a trigger mechanism/dynamics for elevated/dry thunderstorms or precipitation.

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After Juliette, will still be watching for Romeo (not the actual storm name) but a second storm that moves up the monsoon trough in the first week of September.

Expect sudden unexpected meteorological and earth events in September.

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That sounds seriously ominous…

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Can you expand on the this, such as?

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Dangerous conditions on Monday and Tuesday as the ridge sets up in Eastern California / Western Arizona which leads to offshore flow at the surface and rising heights / sunny conditions. Monsoonal moisture should make the atmosphere mixed, potential for plume dominated fires. Dangerous day due to labor day weekend potentially leading to increased ignition sources.

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Good Morning Folks, here’s a pic of smoke from the Garnet Fire taken at 06:40 from my house looking over Sonora NE towards Yosemite. At this time it is 71.6 with RH 38 and wind is out of the South at 5mph. Temp here today 101 is projected.

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