As a deep cut off low establishes itself over Northern California later this week, a large warm sector develops over the Great Basin… with dry SW flow off of the ocean but mid level instability aloft. My concern for the Great Basin region is the potential for a large lightning bust over a couple day period. The sounding shows a large inverted V profile especially initially, and cloud cover could inhibit surface based day time convection that would bring wetting rains… favoring an elevated based thunderstorm regime during the overnight hours.
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Really?
https://www.abc4.com/utah-weather/wildfire/what-is-that-red-smoke-fire-fighters-drop-on-wildfires/
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Anyone else remember when journalism was a thing?
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IT Age
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Facts.
You know, the thing about lightningmaps.org, and all the other detection sites that I have seen, so far, is that you can’t really tell which of the detections are ground strikes. Even with a statistic, like, “20% of ground strikes result in ignitions”, you can’t tell very much. There are vast amounts of arid semi desert that get lightning 6 months out of the year and no major fires. Then again, 150 miles away, they get one ground strike and its going extended.
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