It on to the “third reading” which means it is going to the senate floor. As there were no “no” votes in any of the committees or Assembly floor and there has been no opposition to it I’m guessing it will most likely pass the Senate floor and then go to the governor. The last day for this (senate passage) to occur is Aug 31st. The governor then has until Sept 30th to sign it.
Politically…this being an election year has no practical bearing as the governor has no dog in the fight this year. However, although Newsom has always been supportive of CalFire there are a few budgetary items that he has come out against that he once supported due to the budget condition. Of course, he also has his eyes on a bigger prize down the line so it would not be to his benefit to upset his public safety constituency. How these competing interest work themselves out is anybody guess.
If had to bet a dollar, I’d say its 60-40 he will sign it. (I wouldn’t bet more than a dollar though as Gav and I have not talked with each other recently 
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