It would be great if WiFire would post their four hour prediction.
The fire is more than 100 percent larger than the 3 hour prediction in spite of a great deal of air and ground attack.
The way that these models get improved is if valid data is fed back into the simulation.
One important reason to have a model is to have a structured way to learn.
(Yes, I am indirectly involved in modelling. I confess.)
Wifire knows they are directly involved with the FIRIS program so they get this data.
Retardant all the way around the fire. Airtankers released due to nighttime. Firing operation underway near Cold Springs. Lots of open line, thick vegetation, and light down canyon winds already occurring. Air attack doubled up the retardant in some areas but would not be shocked if it chews through.
Video from this afternoon. It was insane. Sheeting in 10-15 tall chaparral
For non FB users…
1,334 acres per AA51
564fire caught a nice fire whirl.
RVC E11 and E12 protecting a structure with some help from new CF Firehawk
0800 update:
1,425 acres
10% contained
(2) structures destroyed
HRRR shows thunderstorm development today in the Inland Empire, potentially impacting the fire.