CA-SHU-Zogg 2020

Team 2 is going to the Zogg.

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Crowdsourced (don’t know how accurate it is) info says spotting is 3 to 4 miles out from the main fire. To the Southwest.

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New evacuation orders

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South end of this thing has road block Gas Point Rd at Foster, and CHP and SCSO setting up to potentially shut down 36 at Platina Road. SCSO went down Bowman through Tehama to 36 to avoid unpassable fire behavior and downed trees and lines on Platina towards Ono.

Well past station 57 at the moment. Going to try and hook it around Shoop Rd. Citizens in the area need to shelter around St57 with no egress.

Update, fire past Shoop Rd, trying to get dozers to Bland road to catch it in the lighter fuels.

800-1000 acres with spotting, loose estimate from AA, column laying way down and blocking visual to the head of the fire.

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A post was merged into an existing topic: CA-SHU-Zogg??

CALFIRE Twitter - 7000 acres

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1945:
Head of fire is still rapid rate of spread grass oak woodland. East shoulder is reaching McAuliffe, off Foster and Gas Point Road. This will be just north of the Cottonwood-Humboldt 115kv line that is prominent following the 36 corridor west. Hoping to get dozers in there to cut across to the flats at Bland Road. West shoulder still hung up in the flats around Bland Road at the moment but it won’t stick around for long.

Aircraft order for 0800 early up, 4 LAT, 3 S2, an ASM and AA.

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CHP says the fire is approaching Bowman Rd. Still moving out.

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Careful on that - CHP probably doesn’t understand night acres. Bowman Road nowhere near the target on this thing at the moment.

Zogg Operations is estimating the head of this will reach 36 in the area of Vestal and R Ranch around midnight, if not a bit earlier. I’m currently checking into a potential wind shift late tonight that could make it pretty warm though in that area by early morning…

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2230:
Based on GOES fire sensors, and radio traffic, fire still seems to be held up north of the 115kv power line, so lower Bland Rd on the SW side and McAuliffe on the SE side and the Roaring Creek Drainage. Listening to Ops the dozers at the head seem to be keeping pace with the fire, and there is a some dozer work happening on the east flank from Stoekel back north to try and secure that side. The iron work at the head is giving it a good try, but realistically they’re thinking they might not be able to hook it.

Winds are still pushing from the north, sustained 12-16mph, gusts 24-28.
PGE WX has some great resolution of stations in the area.
McAuliffe - at the SE head of this thing
Bridgeville/Cottonwood - on the 115kv power line right of way, also right in the direct path of this.
Shoup - in the middle of the fire
Baker - Right heel of fire

Armchair wind forecast warning: I mentioned earlier there might be a wind shift. A friend noticed the Windy and Ventusky website was showing a potential wind out of the west after midnight. I checked those, along with historicals on the above WX stations, which also show a gentle downslope wind out of the west to the east between midnight and 6am. However everything I see on the official NWS side of things, including a spot fire weather plot for 15mi E of Cottonwood, shows winds stay N, with a little NW nudge early morning. So those diurnals Windy/Ventusky were forecasting are probably being overridden by the N winds.

Rough fire area. Purple circled road names for reference. Purple star at bottom is the 115kv line I mention - that grey line across the bottom.

Most likely my last update for evening.

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IR map from 0320 hours. 27,175 acres, wow.

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Here are a couple different views of it.
IR from 0130, 9/28/2020.

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Ground intel has verified GOES imagery fire is still well north of “the creek” (middle fork Cottonwood, Shasta/Tehama county line). It is excellent dozer country at the head of this thing at the bottom of Foster Road so they’re setting up to try and hook it around to the west.

0930 update:
They can only fill 4 or 5 S2’s (RDD, CIC, Grass Valley), and Tanker 01. No ASM available at the moment. Fixed wing launching now and C102 overhead.

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Fire has spotted across Cottonwood Creek, well established about 1/2 mile ahead of itself, per the scanner.

Edit: From the cameras, looks like there’s significant activity at the heel moving toward Whiskeytown Lake. And now on the scanner, it has crossed their line, pulling resources out to Placer Road to regroup.

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Fire is running clear creek, so far staying on the west side. If it jumps the creek additional evacuations will be ordered to Swasey and points south potentially.

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Hold up - the incident is running two “the creeks”, Middle Fork Cottonwood and Clear Creek. This spot was over Clear Creek. I did the same immediate head crank to the radios when they said that.

Branch 1 DIV A “the creek” is Clear Creek, which has been their #1 priority on the fire to keep west of.

Branch 2 DIV F “the creek” is Middle Fork Cottonwood Creek, and has been held up right at Crow Flat it’s sounded like since this morning. Sec’s 28 and 29.

EDIT: I may have missed this as others did hear it cross Cottonwood Creek. Yikes.

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OK, might have misheard, but I could swear I heard the Cottonwood Creek traffic a few minutes prior to the Clear Creek traffic. But I had the Glass Fire scanner running on the same computer, and a local scanner behind me, so could just be scanner overload :slight_smile:. Apologies if I got it wrong!

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Hoping that is correct, I heard the same thing fishcop did, spot and established south of Cottonwood Creek and still holding west of Clear creek.

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