https://www.courthousenews.com/northern-california-welcomes-rain-but-fire-risk-remains/
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Some good SA on the potentially very impactful Wx headed towards the nops & PNW. Mid latitude cyclone vs Pineapple express with a high potential for un-nicery!
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It does look like fire season in NOPS will be greatly reduced for awhile⌠potential for some significant storms with some large precip totals especially along the North Coast.
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NoOps has started closing down fire season staffing.
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Weâre having a significant EOS layoff today in MMU
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Storm window is opening for real. Heads up in & around burn scars. 1st responders et al will be busy.
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=STO&wwa=hydrologic%20outlook
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https://www.mymotherlode.com/news/local/3459299/bomb-cyclone-forecasted-north-of-mother-lode.html
Thatâs pretty ugly looking.
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So what are the actual forecasts? How much of this has been sensationalized by the news?
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Looks like thatâs the ForcastâŚLetâs see what happens if this was Hype, Fact or somewhere in between.
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As the meteorologist would say, the models and predictions have verified very well.
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Anybody know how the Park burn area is doing?
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The runoff this morning in Chico Creek was dark dark brown, but there wasnât a lot of debris coming down.
I was out in Cohasset today looking at runoff in some really high-severity burn areas in Upper Mud Creek. The ground was thirsty, and I donât think the volcanic soils are very prone to hydrophobicity - I didnât see much overland flow in areas where was deeper soil, and in the harsher lavacap areas in the foothills, the water was concentrated in areas where it always runs off (hardly any soil to erode in the first place).
Cohasset has likely gotten a foot or more of rain since Wednesday, but all in all, I was surprised not to see more surface flow in the areas of hot burn. Things looked more stable than Iâd been anticipating. Most of the places with runoff were places where old roads, trails, or culverts on roads farther upslope were concentrating the flow.
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I suppose with a name like Mud Creek one would not be surprised if it gets dirty
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