CA-SHF-Lava(3-4?)??

[NBChief]

From Hwy 97 East of Weed

[FireCapt]

[BWTFD]

Northern Siskiyou County Fire/EMS (broadcastify.com)

I think this is it

[BWTFD]

[That_guy]

Watched it from about 2100 last night, was well visible on cameras all night

[sofr_bear]

MAFFS already? And we are still in June…

[Capt4711]

I saw that and thought the same thing OMFG

[captain71]

looks like a spot way in front of main head

[pyrogeography]

Kind of interesting patterning in some of the historic fires around the North slope of Mt. Shasta. On a lot of them, the dominant spread direction has been cross-slope.

Map source: Map Viewer

[chukar]

Is this in part of the footprint from the Hotlum fire in Feb 06? It may have been called something different. Expect a big downslope right at dusk when the shadows hit the mountain.

[modcamo]

It should be just west of the Hotlum scar but running the opposite direction of the Hotlum.

[norcal74]

Fire Weather Watch posted for the area for Monday for strong SW winds and low RH… single digit.
My guess is plume dominated fire and sharp reversal of the spread to the NE.
Let’s hope they are planning for that… I know its going into the wilderness, but it can also come out of there…

[MendoRadio]

Established spot out in front of the head.

[milehighbar]

Zeke, I am not to familiar with the county. Understanding that it’s still early, what are you thinking for a potential final acreage on this one?

[modcamo]

Wind modeling change for 2000 hrs to 2200 hrs

X approximate location of incident

[dbrown95521]

Looking at the NWS Forecast Discussion and other sites, it looks like the S winds are forecast to be in place for a few days. Overnight recoveries don’t look too good (~45%). The earlier post about downslope winds as the Mtn atmosphere cools is correct. We typically see that on warm days. Hope that and the S winds help. Not easy terrain up there.

[norcal74]

https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mfr&wwa=fire%20weather%20watch

[Jimw360]

In the IA thread there is a spot weather forecast for the fire area

[norcal74]

I saw that, but the FWW includes the area. Not sure the spot weather forecast captures the potential of down slope winds tonight.
Haines of 6 on Monday with single digit RH and winds from the S/ SE is not a good sign of things to come for this incident.

[Keestrokes]

With all the other fires in the SW, North Ops probably found it prudent to bring on our CA MAFFS to protect the home front. Smart move since McClellan is open and can support them.