A post was merged into an existing topic: CA-SHU-Zogg??
CALFIRE Twitter - 7000 acres
3 Likes
1945:
Head of fire is still rapid rate of spread grass oak woodland. East shoulder is reaching McAuliffe, off Foster and Gas Point Road. This will be just north of the Cottonwood-Humboldt 115kv line that is prominent following the 36 corridor west. Hoping to get dozers in there to cut across to the flats at Bland Road. West shoulder still hung up in the flats around Bland Road at the moment but it won’t stick around for long.
Aircraft order for 0800 early up, 4 LAT, 3 S2, an ASM and AA.
3 Likes
CHP says the fire is approaching Bowman Rd. Still moving out.
4 Likes
Careful on that - CHP probably doesn’t understand night acres. Bowman Road nowhere near the target on this thing at the moment.
Zogg Operations is estimating the head of this will reach 36 in the area of Vestal and R Ranch around midnight, if not a bit earlier. I’m currently checking into a potential wind shift late tonight that could make it pretty warm though in that area by early morning…
8 Likes
2230:
Based on GOES fire sensors, and radio traffic, fire still seems to be held up north of the 115kv power line, so lower Bland Rd on the SW side and McAuliffe on the SE side and the Roaring Creek Drainage. Listening to Ops the dozers at the head seem to be keeping pace with the fire, and there is a some dozer work happening on the east flank from Stoekel back north to try and secure that side. The iron work at the head is giving it a good try, but realistically they’re thinking they might not be able to hook it.
Winds are still pushing from the north, sustained 12-16mph, gusts 24-28.
PGE WX has some great resolution of stations in the area.
McAuliffe - at the SE head of this thing
Bridgeville/Cottonwood - on the 115kv power line right of way, also right in the direct path of this.
Shoup - in the middle of the fire
Baker - Right heel of fire
Armchair wind forecast warning: I mentioned earlier there might be a wind shift. A friend noticed the Windy and Ventusky website was showing a potential wind out of the west after midnight. I checked those, along with historicals on the above WX stations, which also show a gentle downslope wind out of the west to the east between midnight and 6am. However everything I see on the official NWS side of things, including a spot fire weather plot for 15mi E of Cottonwood, shows winds stay N, with a little NW nudge early morning. So those diurnals Windy/Ventusky were forecasting are probably being overridden by the N winds.
Rough fire area. Purple circled road names for reference. Purple star at bottom is the 115kv line I mention - that grey line across the bottom.
Most likely my last update for evening.
6 Likes
Ground intel has verified GOES imagery fire is still well north of “the creek” (middle fork Cottonwood, Shasta/Tehama county line). It is excellent dozer country at the head of this thing at the bottom of Foster Road so they’re setting up to try and hook it around to the west.
0930 update:
They can only fill 4 or 5 S2’s (RDD, CIC, Grass Valley), and Tanker 01. No ASM available at the moment. Fixed wing launching now and C102 overhead.
7 Likes
Fire has spotted across Cottonwood Creek, well established about 1/2 mile ahead of itself, per the scanner.
Edit: From the cameras, looks like there’s significant activity at the heel moving toward Whiskeytown Lake. And now on the scanner, it has crossed their line, pulling resources out to Placer Road to regroup.
3 Likes
Fire is running clear creek, so far staying on the west side. If it jumps the creek additional evacuations will be ordered to Swasey and points south potentially.
3 Likes
Hold up - the incident is running two “the creeks”, Middle Fork Cottonwood and Clear Creek. This spot was over Clear Creek. I did the same immediate head crank to the radios when they said that.
Branch 1 DIV A “the creek” is Clear Creek, which has been their #1 priority on the fire to keep west of.
Branch 2 DIV F “the creek” is Middle Fork Cottonwood Creek, and has been held up right at Crow Flat it’s sounded like since this morning. Sec’s 28 and 29.
EDIT: I may have missed this as others did hear it cross Cottonwood Creek. Yikes.
3 Likes
OK, might have misheard, but I could swear I heard the Cottonwood Creek traffic a few minutes prior to the Clear Creek traffic. But I had the Glass Fire scanner running on the same computer, and a local scanner behind me, so could just be scanner overload 
. Apologies if I got it wrong!
2 Likes
Hoping that is correct, I heard the same thing fishcop did, spot and established south of Cottonwood Creek and still holding west of Clear creek.
2 Likes
5 Likes
Yikes - I missed the Cottonwood Creek confirmation. I thought I heard the same thing, spot and established, but quickly got the idea they were mentioning Clear Creek. Then heard the clarification it is still west of Clear Creek, which then makes the radio traffic make more sense. Thanks.
1500: this thing is lining up to hit Hwy36 just east of Stewart Ranch Road and Vestal Road. About here on Google Maps
5 Likes
TGU now sending resources to fires on So. side of Cottonwood Creek. Div. spotted fire and requested equip from Baker station. 2 Eng’s , Dozers, and Copter.
3 Likes
I don’t know how much they have left in the toolbox?
3 Likes
Night Air Attack ordered up and will be over the fire at 2030. That’s a great tool out of the toolbox. 
I think that’s a first over SHU, unless Carr had it one of the nights.
10 Likes