My son is on this one. There was an initial thread for a named fire. Once it went to complex, I don’t think a thread was built.
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Up here on the 3-9 and the fire did make a push to the south. We’ll see what the afternoon w
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That is what winds do late this afternoon. Around 1700, or so, is when things pick up, although today it was probably around 0430.
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In the deep fire-geekin’ department: It’s getting smokey here in the Sacramento Valley and leaves are rustling with a dry north breeze. Pyrecast fire spread forecasts for NW Cal fires have changed significantly since we ran them 2 days ago. This post shares current 48-hour fire spread model runs with some interpretation: https://the-lookout.org/…/fire-model-runs-for-8-29-2023/
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Conditions are still fairly mild (moderate temps, high humidities) this evening across the areas of NW California with active wildfires. Some ridgetop wind gusts this afternoon, but nothing exceptional, yet. Midday tomorrow looks to be windiest (model comparison for Bluff Creek area using windy.com).
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While we have a RFW to get though over the next 18 hours… do not lose sight of the sharp trough coming into Nops. That may well bring moisture the northern fires. The pressure gradient for areas of the Bay Area and south may be sharp enough to set up some very strong winds.
The temps will drop and the RH will increase but those effects will be blunted by the wind speeds. Could be a situation to watch for sure…
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All the complexes are rather active this afternoon. Activity has picked up in the past 2 hours or so. Black dots in the top left are the IR heat from the GOES-West satellite.
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Not 100% positive but believe its actually the Copper Fire (SRF Lightning Complex) that was discovered a few days ago that is most active, just SW of Elliot which is part of Happy Camp Complex.
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Yep Copper is the one
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It had slope to run back up to the south, unlike Blue 2…
Looks like Copper and Swilliot/Elliup are getting smoked out a bit by the blowup on north end of the Smith River Complex?
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Taken from the I-Phone in my back yard in Sonora. The last Super Blue Moon until 2037. Don’t know if it effect fire weather, but they say it could increase high tide by a foot. Just thought it was cool.
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WOW! Thats enough to make for some real logistical issues on more than a few of the roads. T’s & P’s to ALL the troops out in it! May the Force be with you all!
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Still raining 24 hours later here in Grass Valley area.
I read somewhere the most important factor for fuel conditions is not how much rain but how many hours it has been raining. And both are goodly numbers here right now for this time of year.
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Amount vs duration. When you have 1 inch of rain over 12 hours it is much better for the fuels rather than 5 inches in 30 minutes. Gives it time to soak it up
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