North Ops Weather - 2026

Feb is basically upon us now and..
The snow drought persists.
Blocking Patterns persist!
The 1st false spring that began in Dec persists!
RDD rainfall for the full rain season to date = 58% of normal!
And yet the drought map for Ca still shows no drought in a state that is always a whisker away from drought - at least the reservoirs are looking good?! :grimacing:

Keep thinking it’s beyond time to put serious thought into re-calibrating models and outputs like the drought map!? :thinking:

For sure winter will be here any second so go ahead and hold yer breath. :face_with_raised_eyebrow:

Wx is certainly prone to change quickly BUT i’m not holding my breath any more - this one feels different - hope i’m wrong! If not i sure hope the Summer is mild one despite the way it’s setting up. :flushed_face:

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Forest Service rx burns planned for Concow today and tomorrow have been postponed due to winds and too-low fuel moistures. Welcome to February!

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“False spring” began in Dec and still it persists!
Record warmth still persists!
My Wx stooge / curious non-producer feeling is that it’s gonna take more than a “miracle march” to pull out of this nuttyness. Expecting more impacts to Rx plans statewide yet to come..

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My Black Oak doesn’t know it’s false spring. She leaved out Feb 1st at 2200FT. A low heavy snow would most likely be a disaster for her.

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Things look a little bleak.

Google Photos

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Forgot to mention that the ornamental cherry trees and other hardwood species (i dont have names for) have had blossomes going for 2 weeks now. They’re really poping right now here in north rdd. :face_with_monocle:

This has been the earliest that i can recall blossoms on those type of trees in my “short” time here in nops. I’m sure it’s happened before and i just wasn’t around or paying attention like i do now.

Really has me thinking about Almond & Pecan Farmers & ground nesters like turkeys, quail et al - they’re gonna be in a world of hurt if/when winter or a freeze returns. I gotta believe we’ve got at least one more cold spell coming for nops but who knows. :grimacing:

Also wondering just how the much recent galactic & solar climatology/shenanigans are playing a part in our terrestrial Wx patterns. :thinking:

Seems like this winter in my neck of the woods has been a story of 2 patterns.. so far.
1 - Rinse/repeat of blocking patterns w/ record warmth
2 - AR storm(s) w/ flooding followed by record warm spells

#shiftingbaselines #externalforcing #facts

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My Liquid Amber at 1850ft in Mariposa has been pushing buds for 2 weeks

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Certainly a big time negative tilt to the dome thats been over us - i believe that too is a sign of change incoming BUT how big will that change actually translate into on the ground & how long will it last?

Precip is great BUT following it up with record warm has been no bueno & this snowdrought thing is significant and then some!?

Staying optimistic BUT it’s getting harder.

#shiftingbaselines! #miraclefeb/march!?

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Tuesday I drove from Greenville to Satley, then over Yuba Pass to Nevada City and back. Snow over the pass is paltry compared to what I have seen in the past. Things climate-wise ain’t looking good at all.

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upcoming cold snap with freezing rain prediction for the 15th to the 19th (so far) which are rare for my location in Lake County. lots of my vegetation never really set dormancy this year so it will be interesting to see the damage to the new bud growth and buds. If it really does get below freezing for a few days, that will set up my burn piles for the next sunny day.

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