A closed upper level low is cutting off from the main jet stream off of the coast of Oregon. This low will quickly drop south through Wednesday and cut off the coast of CA.
Monsoonal moisture will work it’s way into Southern CA Tuesday night. On the leading edge of the deep moisture, there will likely be an inverted V profile for possible dry lightning strikes. As the moisture plume deepens the threat will diminish by Wednesday afternoon except perhaps far Northern LA County.
PWV may actually approach the upper bound of recorded data for this date in the CA bight, so there may be heavy precipitation with any thunderstorms that do form.
Getting a little lightning near Escondido now.
https://www.weather.gov/zse/SatRad?speed=0.3&mins=10&count=7<=33.5042&ln=-117.0007&zm=9&rad=1<g=1&sat=0&sig=0&fc=1&hover=1&size=0&mobile&
Any new starts or wet system.
everything ive seen is that its dry but then I am not 100% very well could be wet
For reference there is over 800 strikes in some areas that it is striking I am seeing rain predicted after sun up but low chances of 11 and 10% for now but for the total area I am not sure
There was brief periods of heavy precipitation, mostly moderate. The Bobcat Fire burn scar took the brunt of it, but still plenty of strikes outside of the burn scar. We will see what the morning recon flight finds.
TUU and FKU getting hammered right now and it doesn’t look like much rain with this.
https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOiJsb2NhbCIsImNlbnRlciI6Wy0xMTkuNjMyLDM2LjMxNV0sImxvY2F0aW9uIjpudWxsLCJ6b29tIjo4LCJmaWx0ZXIiOm51bGwsImxheWVyIjoiY3JlZiIsInN0YXRpb24iOiJLSE5YIn0sImFuaW1hdGluZyI6ZmFsc2UsImJhc2UiOiJzdGFuZGFyZCIsImFydGNjIjpmYWxzZSwiY291bnR5IjpmYWxzZSwiY3dhIjpmYWxzZSwicmZjIjpmYWxzZSwic3RhdGUiOmZhbHNlLCJtZW51Ijp0cnVlLCJzaG9ydEZ1c2VkT25seSI6dHJ1ZSwib3BhY2l0eSI6eyJhbGVydHMiOjAuOCwibG9jYWwiOjAuNiwibG9jYWxTdGF0aW9ucyI6MC44LCJuYXRpb25hbCI6MC42fX0%3D#/
Two fires reported this morning on ANF
