South Ops Weather-2023

[FireCapt]

NWS LA: 3:30pm

Gusty northerly winds are expected across the mountains of
Santa Barbara county as well as the South Coast tonight through
Thursday morning. The strongest winds, gusts 30 to 50 mph with
possible gusts to 60 mph, are expected tonight through Wednesday
morning. These winds will combine with relative humidity in the
15 to 25 percent range this evening and again Wednesday evening
to bring critical fire weather conditions to these areas. The
confidence for widespread critical fire weather conditions is
high for tonight and Wednesday morning and a RED FLAG WARNING
is in effect. For Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning,
confidence in widespread critical fire weather is not as high
and a FIRE WEATHER WATCH is in effect. These conditions could
lead to rapid fire spread, especially in the coastal foothills.
This part of Santa Barbara County is particularly vulnerable to
fires due to dry fuel moisture values at this time of the year.

[FireCapt]

Incoming - a long way out but it is that time of year.

[Corey6288]

Seems like that’s the earliest they have been projected in a few years

[ghost7]

If your coming down the Grade for SLU, there’s some pretty good spots. I dunno why everyone mobs up at Pismo Pier. Pier Ave at Oceano, is 10 min away, near the airstrip and ORVA, is 8-12ft and practically deserted this morning. Santa Rosa Creek and Moonstone also worth a look. If you make it to SB, there’s Razorblades and El Capitan if you want to avoid the Hollywood at Rincon.

[Firing-out]

Already removed

[Flyron]

Strong winds kick up fire weather concerns through the week

Critical fire weather into Wednesday | News Channel 3-12

[ghost7]

The Pacific Ocean has some things to say about the low pressure at Gaviota overnight with wind gusts peaking to 35 in the coastal ranges and north of Santa Clarita.

Dawn patrol looking good tomorrow at 6am. Winds should continue backing off through 4pm Thursday.

[Flyron]

Blustery, wet weather to make way for summertime conditions by midweek 

[ffviking]

Summit Cam - Dodge Ridge Mountain Resort

A little dusting of snow at 8200ft… Move those bucks around today in the High County.

[Flyron]

San Diego Weather Today: Warmer Temperature Tuesday

SoCal Rainfall totals
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=SGX&product=RRM&format=CI&version=1

[Twigpig]

[anvilhead]

We should watch Tropical Cyclone Lidia as it moves towards Baja California sur. Earlier control runs were recurving the storm up the Gulf of California. The ensembles are still open to the possibility. If a circulation can manifest itself half way up the Gulf and sync up with a Santa Ana wind event it could spell extra wind hazards for South Ops.

The most likely scenario is a landfall in Western Mexico.

[ghost7]

Evapotranspiration rates on the Central Coast are pretty high. The marine layer retreated off the shoreline and the temperature jumped about 15 degrees over two days and is just sucking the moisture out of everything.

[E3181Tem]

Hence the current fire behavior in SLU right now.

[Flyron]

SoCal to see morning clouds, cooler temperatures Tuesday

[ffviking]

Another great day in the Motherlode. When this sunrise photo was taken it was 53 out, no wind and no rain. Hope all is well for everyone retired and still working. Stay Safe and Keep the Faith.

Photo is looking out over the town of Sonora.

[Flyron]

Impending Santa Ana Winds Bring Increased Fire Risk to Southern California,...

[ffviking]

Another great sunrise here in the Motherlode looking out over Sonora towards Duckwall Mtn.
60 out, no dew, leaf litter and grass crunchy when you walk on it. Couldn’t ask for better burning conditions for VMP etc. Looks like a cool down next week. Hope all is well Fire Folks.

[Flyron]

Norma maybe a factor in SoOps?

Hurricane Norma producing dangerous wind, rain, storm surge in Mexico's Cabo...

[Flyron]

Some areas of Southern California could see rain Monday