Can see it on the lighting map, you answered the question about moisture.
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Going to be interesting as it heads into the foothills.
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Several Lightning starts in the valley and now a new start Tollhouse Road and Nicholas (SRA) Eastern Fresno County
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Dry lightning moving N/NW up the middle of the Valley area of Fresno/Madera
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Draw a line from Dinuba to Shaver lake and they are getting rocked by lightning
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Could get interesting, looks like some SRA being hit NNE of Fresno.
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I often thought that lightning storms like this were much like playing jacks when you were a kid. When you’ve got only 1 jack to pick up before the ball bounces again, that’s pretty easy. When you’ve got 2 jacks, then 3 jacks, then 4 jacks to scoop up before the ball bounces again, it gets a little tougher. Pretty soon the ball bounces twice and you’ve got a major fire.
I hope the folks in the South Sierras pick up all these fires before the ball bounces twice.
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TCU getting sone lightning now. Two fires so far both contained. Kinsler five acres. Willms contained at 15 acres. Setting up staging at Green Springs and Altaville.
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Public facing site that doesn’t separate “+” from “-” strikes, but gives an idea of area effected by activity
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Models are in agreement that the epicenter of the biggest heat will stay north of Pt. Conception and will shake its way down at maximum intensity Friday/Saturday.
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Anvil, how far south do you see the NE winds reaching or is it pretty strong certainty they stay north of Sacramento? Im in the area northeast of the Basin Fire and am just curious the certainty that they wont impact further south.
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It seems like the winds are going to follow the thermal belt mostly in the San Joaquin valley all the way to the south with some marginally gusty winds. Biggest issue is that there is not much of an inversion at the fires elevation if at all with the winds aloft. Not much stagnant air despite extremely hot temperatures, so any column can easily tap into the winds aloft and modify the conditions at the surface.
This weather can lead to dangerous fire conditions that can lead to life safety… because heavier fuels will become acutely stressed out. That can lead to fire spread activity that is much more energetic than boots on the ground are accustomed to this year thus far. One day the heavier fuels are barely burning and the next they’re supporting sustained crown runs. So hopefully no one gets caught off guard.
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Thanks for the info. Ive got a pretty good vantage point of the western end of the fire and the upper level smoke. Ill keep an eye out.
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There’s a there’s a hair trigger on all that potential energy and the safety is off! So, heads up Y’all! P.s. Drink more water Troop’s, you gonna need it…
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Hurricane Beryl will be entering the Gulf of Mexico and approaching the Gulf Coast. The high pressure system centered over Northern CA will be deamplifying slightly and moving over Southern California. The heatwave continues on and a major problem is that the tropical cyclones track in conjunction with a sharpening trough over the midwest will be reamplifying the high pressure system over Southern California. This is occurring just as the high pressure cycle is winding down. The taller (stronger) the hurricane, the more it will subsequently ‘pile up’ additional air for stronger high pressure over California. Thus at this point there is no heat relief in near sight. Mid to late July is likely the earliest the monsoon trough will move over the area.
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