Curious as well, thumbing thru the various weather RX’s, seemingly the central Sierra will be dryer than the south and behind the north already.
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Most everywhere should get at least a little rain. Models very bad with systems from the south.
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CSR Weather forecast today talked about the Potential for “season delaying and in some areas ending event”
Yet there are Staffing patterns in place. 1% CSR Wide Large Fire Potential today and tomorrow.
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We are always a couple wind events away from South Ops drying up, remember last year we didn’t burn until late December. Not sure what we will see on this season of studio weather, there’s too many variables. If I had to take a crack at it, we might see an early rainy season this year followed by very dry later winter and spring setting up summer 2026….
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For the most part so far, the showers have been from the valleys west to the coast leaving the foothills and mountains dry for San Diego County. Radar shows the moisture moving NW out of Baja.
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I see plenty of moisture on radar coming from the south. But when I covered my woodpile I must of jinx the rain for the Sonora area for the time being. I just looked outside(03:31) and it’s still dry here. 64 out with RH at 85, wind at 1 out of the south with gust to 3mph.
See some RED and Yellow coming thru Fresno, Tulare and Kern counties. This is not good for the grapes the got drying in the trays on the ground.
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Pretty spotty here in Visalia. We got maybe .14. Mountains and foothills a bit more. Not nearly what was forecast. Liking the cooler temps though!
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Here on the central coast we got just a light drizzle through the night and currently and quite spotty.
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We got a 1/2 inch in Clovis which is surprising.
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I was a bit premature on my previous post. In Visalia more rain moved in right after and looks to be done very soon. We’ve gotten a little over a half inch total. Mountains and foothills more. Not bad, a decent wetting rain. We needed it bad.
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Tenth of an inch in Murphys
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.25" in Mariposa
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Still too far out but hurricane models and the operational models are adjusting the timing of Narda as they currently show it moving too fast west, the adjusted timing leads it into entanglement with the cut off low pressure system off of the coast. Could see some decent precipitation chances again at the end of the month into the first week of October, especially if the two systems fujiwhara. Cut off lows are generally hard to forecast though but the trend should be noted.
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Pretty good T Storms rolling through Calaveras county right now mostly cloud to cloud and not a lot of rain hitting the ground at least in Murphys
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Look like some down strikes towards Blue Mtn, Sheep Ranch and Murphy’s area. Some look to be other side of American Camp or Camp Nine. A couple others towards Mc Cormick Meadows and Grohl Meadows area. Like you said not much precep with this. See what happens tomorrow.
Had a great view from the front of my house of the down strikes.
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Getting rather abundant lightning south from Angels Camp and to the west past Stockton. No rain in town all day.
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Thunder woke me up. Lot’s of cloud to cloud and a few down strikes in Tuolumne County. But unlike this evening we are getting some rain here at my house in Sonora. Pretty active cell over Twain Harte right now.
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