And just like that its in the 80’s again - almost stroked out the dog’s (again) during pt’s!
The recent cooler Wx de-acclimated me fast so now this “heat spell” has me feeling like summer again AND it arrived with another Type 1 hatch of mosquitos - YAY us!! 
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For sure gonna keep an eye on how this does/doesnt come to play out… 
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/cpc_key_messages/CPC-Key-Message-1.html
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What a difference a few well timed storms makes. In many years we would be in peak burning conditions right now across much of the state, bit the two precip events that we have had have greatly reduced the threat.
Looking forward.. a small storm will clip the for NW corner of the state Sunday. This will depart the state quickly and take a more northerly track. This will reduce the impacts in CNR and even CSR with less wind as the high builds in behind the departing trough.
HP will build in for “chamber of commerce” weather this week. Temps across the area will reach mid 70’s. There will be some moderate offshore winds as the high builds in, these will be most notable at the higher elevations of the Coast Range and Sierra’s. One thing to watch for is radiational cooling under the inversion in the valley’s this week. With the damp soils and stronger inversions we could see some widespread Tule Fog mid week. Old Timers used to tell me that Tule Fog meant offshore winds..
By late week a storm of some strength looks impact much of CNR. Initial model runs were pointing at a possibly significant AR. Today the models have backed off a little bit still show a three day event with soaking rain across most of NOPS.
Too far out to marry up to any specific details..
While the storm may look impressive on the models.. if just one or two ingredients are lacking the storms could underperform..and be a drizzle fest.
Based on what has been consistently shown and lining up with Climatology we should see some decent soaking rain next weekend.
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Here’s how the NBM has been trending for precip over the last couple days… much less rain.
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Shoulder seasons are the hardest to forecast beyond 7 days.
What does look like a trend this year is the stronger storms seems to be starting earlier than normal. Once the days get shorter, the air cooler, things will get even more interesting.
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Yes.. much more robust a few days ago.. with some eye popping numbers. Right now back into “normal”.. let’s see how the details tease out. All in all a beneficial storm for much of the top 2/3 of the state.
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FYI..
Graphic with precip totals for the past 3 days / 72 hrs. Posted by NWS..
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Looking like the recent high 70’s & low 80’s might be going away (again) for a return to Fall type Wx. I was wondering how this Oct stacked up against last Oct so i did a down/dirty glance at some numbers. Thought i’d share for good of the order. Happy November Y’all!
October Data, 2024 vs 2025 - Data from Benton Field Station/RDD
2024
Temperature (f)
Max - 102
Max Ave - 85.17
Min Low - 41
Wind (mph)
Max - 24
Ave - 4.29
Max Gust - 39
Precip (in)
Max - 0.20
Snow Depth - 0.00
Sea Level Pressure (in)
Max - 29.66
Ave - 29.45
Min - 29.19
2025
Temperature (f)
Max - 89
Max Ave - 72.08
Min Low - 42
Max Wind (mph)
Max - 10
Ave - 2.59
Max Gust - 17
Precip (in)
Max - 0.76
Ave - 0.00
Sea Level Pressure (in)
Max - 29.69
Ave - 29.42
Min - 28.99
End of report…
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I be courious how the whole summer penciled out? My bet would be cooler, fewer red flag days, less wind, higher Rh.
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Sure seems like we had a record amount of lightning threat days even though the monsoons turned out to be non-soons?! Still scratching my head on that one… 
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Most of the lightning, at least in the NE part of the state came with rain, thankfully. Engines were getting stuck responding to IAs
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24hr rainfall totals for the far north are not too shabby!
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A reminder that the nice golf weather we’ve been having cant last forever!
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WOW!
Some nice 24hr amounts up here in #banjoland! 
Gotta start working on that snowpack tho..
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The next round of moisture has begun in the rdd!
Once again finding myself falling into the trap of getting over excited by daily rainfall totals! The impulse was ramping up again this a.m. so had to check those seasonal percentages for a much needed reality check! Thought it was worth sharing - Happy Sunday nops!
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