Maybe another split flow type year, modoki type el nino with the warmer water making it’s way across in the north, while La Nina develops over the equator. I still think an early winter, compressed with good chance of stronger upper level lows, and leading into a drier spring… Purely guessing though
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Speaking of eye catching!
Hard not to notice the non zero chance of TORNADO on the day 2 convective outlook map - according to SPC.. 
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Waterspouts, sure once in a while.
Thunder, yep.
Lightning, yep.
Tornados.. Uh, not so much…
Growing up here the term “Tornado Threat” sure didn’t come up much as far as i can recall. I have this picture in my mind of heading southbound 101 cresting the grade (Cuesta) and seeing a tornado off in the distance! That would be nuts x 100!
#ShifitngBaselines
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Daniel Swain had a great livestream on our ongoing storm, this evening. https://www.youtube.com/live/h5rIErg3Zj8?si=MDSqvivR2zFMecmo
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1.15" of rain overnight in Visalia and still raining. Pretty much everyone getting a much needed early decent wetting rain.
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With a warm up in the 80’s day after tomorrow
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Only calling for upper 60’s to low 70’s here thru the rest of week.
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Little over 1.5 in Sonora. Snow looks to be around the Pinecrest lake area about 5600 or higher elevations. This will put a lot of grass coming up under the oaks and along the roadways if not all over.
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Pretty close to same over in Dunlap - good, solid rain for 7 hours with several thunderstorms thrown in the mix.
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For those saying fire season is done… take a look at the so cal fire weather snooper today. Temps mid to upper 80’s, winds NE 10-20mph, RH’s down into the teens and maybe even more importantly, fuel sticks are down below 10 for most areas, Topanga coming in at 5!
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I did see a lot of tarantulas a few days back 
I need a horny toad and a circle to get some more educated analysis.
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I had a Hotshot Captain that swore by the Horny Toad. Crazy thing was, it was right 90% of the time.
It won’t let me load an image but the South Ops 7 day Fire Potential is and has been solid green for the last week.
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Like I pointed out earlier in the thread, we are always a couple of wind events away here in Southern California from fire season. I’d consider this sequence an ‘offshore sequence’ so about two more wind events away from critical fire wx conditions again. So perhaps the first week of November.
The storm last week likely ‘condensed’ most of the energy that would be allocated for early season troughing into one early event so we could get stuck in a persistent offshore pattern for November.
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Thanks for the update @anvilhead. Starting to see a trend towards a wind event in 7-10 days with cold air finally getting into the GB. Still too far out to hang a hat on, but tis the season. 10/25-10/31 is an easy bet for a wind event most years.
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